PolyBot

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Traders

Nanamo613

0xfecace78db874bf3c772d740c2f494c4f35af1ad

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$369.1k
Markets traded
700
Open portfolio
$285.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded700
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.0900.125$76.75+$21.35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1310.147$73.75+$8.25
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1310.115$67.47−$9.33
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1380.170$54.23+$10.33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0500.045$4.50−$0.50
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1700.135$3.97−$1.03
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1210.172$2.59+$0.77
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0220.019$1.95−$0.25
Virginia Tech vs. Clemson · Clemson0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.42
Zimbabwe Women Tour of India ODIs: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women · Zimbabwe Women0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · No0.0110.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 16:45Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$67.60
10-28 06:36Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$6.40
10-28 02:50Trail Blazers vs. LakersBUY0.5299999883$20.00
10-28 00:04Spread: Celtics (-6.5)BUY0.5427631508$30.00
10-28 00:03Trail Blazers vs. LakersBUY0.539999986$10.00
10-27 22:44Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaBUY0.64$20.00
10-27 01:18Grizzlies vs. JazzBUY0.5$25.00
10-27 00:08Spread: Thunder (-8.5)BUY0.4899999944$20.00
10-26 15:19Curitiba: Antonia Vergara vs Eduarda GomesBUY0.01$1.00
10-26 15:13Curitiba: Antonia Vergara vs Eduarda GomesBUY0.9859999996$20.00
10-26 12:26Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 02:27Chiefs vs. SeahawksSELL0.13$7.43
10-26 01:03Chiefs vs. SeahawksBUY0.3499999948$20.00
10-25 19:35Browns vs. TitansBUY0.51$15.30
10-25 19:34Browns vs. TitansBUY0.5$30.00