PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nonamebutmaybe

0xfe5c8d92a0e4f50dd1e7907e5b7b7403bae0fa87

Realised P&L
$-20.23
Volume
$972.08
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$13.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4250.380$3.80−$0.45
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.9630.606$3.03−$1.79
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.9280.580$2.90−$1.74
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.9400.550$2.74−$1.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.095$1.43−$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:12Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
10-30 19:11Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?SELL0.1$0.50
10-30 12:59Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?BUY0.11$1.10
10-21 16:46Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?BUY0.08$1.20
10-17 13:07Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.928$4.64
10-17 13:06Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.963$4.81
10-17 13:06Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.94$4.69
10-15 23:50Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?BUY0.43$2.15
09-29 15:42Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?BUY0.9069999256$1.00
09-28 14:12Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?SELL0.52$0.66
09-28 14:10Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9349999579$1.00
09-26 02:32Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?BUY0.7829999577$1.00
09-25 23:02Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.941$4.71
09-25 22:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.93$1.00
09-25 22:56Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.932$1.06