PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfe451c03ad216565c90633d981f77197735caee3

Realised P&L
$-5.51
Volume
$157.69
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$6.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:12Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-15 08:09WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-14 22:59Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 14:39Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.78$1.00
09-13 04:32Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-12 18:36Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-12 08:42Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-11 23:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-08 05:49Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-07 20:06Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-07 12:04Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-03 23:37Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
09-03 14:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.429999828$1.00
09-03 03:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.52$1.00
09-02 17:33Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?BUY0.5019999699$1.00