PolyBot

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Traders

vesselmaster

0xfe3b663c38ea35a94bf20905210bb3cf943fae48

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$74.4k
Markets traded
1,024
Open portfolio
$239.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,024
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes0.7900.785$49.68$0.32
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31? · No0.2050.425$41.41+$21.41
Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · Yes0.6800.635$28.01$1.99
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · No0.5000.640$25.60+$5.60
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5260.588$22.34+$2.34
Will Monaco be runner-up in the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Yes0.2200.470$21.36+$11.36
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5950.419$14.10$5.90
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.200$10.00+$5.00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? · No0.2600.229$8.79$1.21
Will João Roma win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · Yes0.1970.144$7.32$2.68
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.2400.135$5.63$4.37
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.0880.064$3.61$1.39
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · Yes0.1500.026$0.93$4.32
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? · Yes0.0680.012$0.88$4.12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 18:30Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?SELL0.86$35.83
09-23 18:30Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?SELL0.8852023044$66.07
09-23 02:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?BUY0.6698564562$50.00
09-22 19:51Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?SELL0.9960515836$96.55
09-22 00:25Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.269999993$10.00
09-22 00:25Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?SELL0.7482574134$83.77
09-22 00:24Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.1790949102$10.00
09-22 00:23Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?SELL0.7734065934$351.90
09-21 20:45Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?BUY0.2399999981$10.00
09-21 20:44Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?BUY0.8818939831$500.00
09-21 01:54Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21?BUY0.4199999966$20.00
09-20 02:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?BUY0.64$20.00
09-20 02:54Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
09-19 21:19Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?SELL0.86$44.20
09-19 13:37Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.1945733493$10.00