vesselmaster
0xfe3b663c38ea35a94bf20905210bb3cf943fae48
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $74.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,024
- Open portfolio
- $239.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,024
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.48at 0.048Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?
- +$80.04at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?
- +$77.64at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?
- +$76.55at 0.107Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?
- +$74.95at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.86 | $35.83 |
| 09-23 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.8852023044 | $66.07 |
| 09-23 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6698564562 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.9960515836 | $96.55 |
| 09-22 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? | SELL | 0.7482574134 | $83.77 |
| 09-22 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1790949102 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? | SELL | 0.7734065934 | $351.90 |
| 09-21 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.8818939831 | $500.00 |
| 09-21 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.86 | $44.20 |
| 09-19 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.1945733493 | $10.00 |