PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ricolou

0xfe24dc53a7e60f76b37c6fe6806f8b5617db8dd4

Realised P&L
$-27.65
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$5.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2100.305$1.45+$0.45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.3500.305$0.87$0.13
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3000.235$0.78$0.22
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.165$0.72$0.28
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2900.205$0.71$0.29
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0660.020$0.60$1.39
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2600.105$0.40$0.60
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.2500.010$0.04$0.96
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$1.61
Cerebras IPO before 2027? · No0.0770.000$0.00$1.00
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? · No0.0700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 09:58Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.036999963$1.00
08-17 16:01Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.6$1.00
08-17 15:54Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-17 15:54Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-17 15:54Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-17 15:39China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
04-24 16:20Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?SELL0.999$1.72
04-23 21:10Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.5679998773$0.96
04-12 16:41Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
04-11 05:07Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?BUY0.2799998432$0.93
04-09 13:08JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.16$1.00
04-09 06:21Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.3499998775$0.94
04-08 04:56Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.16$0.92
04-06 21:29Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?BUY0.2199998548$0.89
04-04 02:20Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.1679998871$0.92