1b83ca7c
0xfe0426359529a24c769c5ae4e6d82d7c009feee0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.09
- Volume
- $135.59
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $20.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.02at 0.726Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.68at 0.131Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$0.93at 0.673Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$0.75at 0.120Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$0.54at 0.650Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 14:43 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999025 | $1.28 |
| 10-23 14:40 | Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 14:38 | Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 07:43 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 07:43 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:25 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9619998515 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 12:32 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 05:52 | Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 05:52 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.9409999492 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 18:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.13 |
| 07-16 18:46 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 18:45 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.959999616 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 13:49 | Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 12:14 | Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7599993312 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 12:14 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |