PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1b83ca7c

0xfe0426359529a24c769c5ae4e6d82d7c009feee0

Realised P&L
$-2.09
Volume
$135.59
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$20.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 14:43NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999025$1.28
10-23 14:40Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-23 14:38Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.8$1.00
10-23 07:43Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-23 07:43Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.8399994288$1.00
10-08 04:25Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9619998515$5.00
09-04 12:32NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
08-21 05:52Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.987999996$1.00
08-21 05:52Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.9409999492$1.00
07-16 18:48Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.08$0.13
07-16 18:46AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?BUY0.75$1.00
07-16 18:45AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?BUY0.959999616$1.00
05-24 13:49Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?SELL0.76$1.00
05-17 12:14Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.7599993312$1.00
05-17 12:14Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.6799998912$1.00