sh00790
0xfdc906144696c729a2ff1e446260d14d7d19690b
- Realised P&L
- $-37.10
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 291
- Open portfolio
- $4.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded291
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.867 | $4.33 | −$0.53 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.013 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.91at 0.513Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$4.85at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$4.85at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$4.85at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$4.85at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:12 | Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.973 | $4.87 |
| 09-12 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.32 |
| 09-12 10:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $1.12 |
| 09-10 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $1.68 |
| 09-09 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.56 |
| 09-09 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $1.59 |
| 09-04 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 10:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.96 |
| 09-04 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $0.90 |
| 09-04 03:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.36 |
| 09-04 02:17 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2449998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-25 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 25? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.77 |