Joserbr
0xfdb906a1c695e668ef35427a7b5e17280e534ea5
- Realised P&L
- $-70.80
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $180.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.95at 0.171Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.63at 0.326Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
- +$5.74at 0.614Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$4.84at 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.72at 0.514Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 10:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 00:54 | Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | SELL | 0.005013809 | $0.09 |
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 10-03 13:07 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.2159999827 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 13:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2589999907 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 13:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 51% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0929999972 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 10:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0491725755 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0278606962 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 22:17 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.3989999465 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 22:09 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0949999981 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 22:04 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:57 | Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 12:23 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.061 | $1.83 |
| 09-18 12:20 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.3269999974 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 16:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1339999655 | $3.00 |