BNGLKHFG
0xfd6a55343f9137f0a76a53e5f4d9803523362d4a
- Realised P&L
- $268.30
- Volume
- $27.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $87.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.480Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
- +$504.00at 0.280Warriors vs. Cavaliers
- +$273.00at 0.610Penguins vs. Maple Leafs
- +$230.00at 0.77076ers vs. Cavaliers
- +$228.00at 0.620Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 10:18 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $48.10 |
| 08-24 12:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $38.52 |
| 08-24 12:16 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.051713 | $5.17 |
| 08-09 07:16 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.979 | $58.74 |
| 07-24 13:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.984 | $24.60 |
| 07-01 12:59 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 06-08 14:07 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 05-18 13:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 04-19 13:41 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $75.20 |
| 03-25 13:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.89 |
| 03-14 13:52 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9756666667 | $29.27 |
| 02-24 10:02 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.30 |
| 01-25 12:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? | BUY | 0.0476090196 | $12.14 |
| 01-06 13:55 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $66.36 |
| 12-20 14:00 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $56.55 |