PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

9fdgkliydu43

0xfd45a9bfaacc6b9cfafd813defe3c96b6f0bc05e

Realised P&L
$709.66
Volume
$922.9k
Markets traded
1,996
Open portfolio
$85.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,996
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-08? · No0.0060.740$5.92+$5.87
Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? · No0.4011.000$5.01+$3.00
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · No0.7800.998$4.53+$0.99
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9101.000$4.47+$0.40
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8131.000$4.35+$0.81
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? · No0.8800.930$4.13+$0.22
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9090.958$3.90+$0.20
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? · No0.5910.820$3.51+$0.98
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.6400.840$3.35+$0.80
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5541.000$3.19+$1.42
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · No0.5600.895$3.08+$1.15
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? · No0.3100.535$2.61+$1.10
Will Iwaki FC vs. Ventforet Kōfu end in a draw? · Yes0.0030.491$2.46+$2.44
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.5900.905$2.23+$0.78
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026? · No0.8200.740$2.17$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 05:01Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Los Angeles Rams in 2026-27?SELL0.002$0.01
06-29 10:16Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?SELL0.31$2.10
06-26 03:33Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?SELL0.01$0.05
06-25 06:16Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?SELL0.119$1.23
05-31 02:42Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?SELL0.001$0.03
05-30 00:18Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?SELL0.001$0.00
05-27 17:53Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?SELL0.021$0.11
05-27 17:52Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?SELL0.62$4.71
05-23 13:51Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?SELL0.29$2.25
05-23 02:14Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?SELL0.004$1.40
05-20 20:31Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?SELL0.001$0.02
05-20 20:28Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?SELL0.001$0.02
05-19 17:34Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?SELL0.13$0.65
05-19 16:59Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?SELL0.13$5.49
05-19 11:43Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?SELL0.17$6.10