Rafayoyo
0xfd45140604de9b5db6cde370d8398f91872947e9
- Realised P&L
- $-111.17
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $48.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.305 | $30.36 | +$1.49 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? · Yes | 0.630 | 1.000 | $7.94 | +$2.94 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 1.000 | $5.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $2.31 | −$2.56 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $1.91 | −$3.09 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 00:45 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 00:44 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0073946415 | $4.87 |
| 09-15 00:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999975 | $28.87 |
| 05-16 23:47 | Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 23:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? | BUY | 0.6299999017 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 23:45 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1740000003 | $110.00 |