PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rafayoyo

0xfd45140604de9b5db6cde370d8398f91872947e9

Realised P&L
$-111.17
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$48.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.305$30.36+$1.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? · Yes0.6301.000$7.94+$2.94
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026? · No0.9001.000$5.56+$0.56
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.004$2.31$2.56
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.1700.065$1.91$3.09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0040.002$0.50$0.50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00$110.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 00:45Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-15 00:44Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.004$1.00
09-15 00:41Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.0073946415$4.87
09-15 00:36Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999975$28.87
05-16 23:47Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?BUY0.9$5.00
05-16 23:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?BUY0.6299999017$5.00
05-16 23:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1740000003$110.00