PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Elles

0xfd1c69b30fee30a5ec7b2ee49cd038fff8534c80

Realised P&L
$234.94
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$154.40

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 10:05Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?BUY0.978$4.89
07-28 08:30Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.077$1.54
07-28 08:28Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.15$1.50
07-28 08:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.003$0.23
07-11 14:01Will Starmer not participate in the next PMQ?BUY0.04$0.87
07-11 13:57Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?BUY0.0483333333$0.72
07-11 13:56Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 70k and 80k?BUY0.084$1.27
07-11 13:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.09$2.25
07-08 13:21Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.34$1.70
07-08 13:16Will Starmer not participate in the next PMQ?BUY0.09$1.08
07-08 13:14Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?BUY0.32$1.60
07-08 13:06Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.97$6.70
07-08 12:58Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?BUY0.16$1.12
07-08 12:57Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.074$1.11
06-24 16:28Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?BUY0.09$0.78