Elles
0xfd1c69b30fee30a5ec7b2ee49cd038fff8534c80
- Realised P&L
- $234.94
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $154.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.11at 0.009Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$43.99at 0.560Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$36.97at 0.720Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
- +$29.74at 0.768Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
- +$25.18at 0.543Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 10:05 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 07-28 08:30 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.077 | $1.54 |
| 07-28 08:28 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 07-28 08:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 07-11 14:01 | Will Starmer not participate in the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.87 |
| 07-11 13:57 | Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 60k and 70k? | BUY | 0.0483333333 | $0.72 |
| 07-11 13:56 | Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 70k and 80k? | BUY | 0.084 | $1.27 |
| 07-11 13:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.25 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-08 13:16 | Will Starmer not participate in the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 07-08 13:14 | Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 07-08 13:06 | Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.70 |
| 07-08 12:58 | Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 07-08 12:57 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.11 |
| 06-24 16:28 | Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.78 |