0xfD1b2AB74a9f0706d10F4f8a81276272a6fF650B-1767256958578
0xfd1b2ab74a9f0706d10f4f8a81276272a6ff650b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $912.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.81at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$34.96at 0.961Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$27.50at 0.911US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$22.89at 0.860Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
- +$19.36at 0.844United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 03:23 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.405 | $4.05 |
| 07-14 03:22 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $17.93 |
| 07-14 03:22 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.405 | $8.10 |
| 07-14 03:21 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $35.85 |
| 07-09 23:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.388 | $38.80 |
| 07-08 22:29 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 07-08 22:29 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.78 | $46.80 |
| 07-07 23:20 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.045 | $2.25 |
| 07-07 20:07 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.67 |
| 07-07 20:07 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 07-07 17:55 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.06 | $19.02 |
| 07-07 17:34 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.8199999996 | $260.00 |
| 07-07 17:32 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 07-07 17:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 07-07 05:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.331 | $66.20 |