PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfD1b2AB74a9f0706d10F4f8a81276272a6fF650B-1767256958578

0xfd1b2ab74a9f0706d10f4f8a81276272a6ff650b

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$912.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.8900.965$96.45+$7.45
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.9200.850$85.00$7.00
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6580.615$55.35$3.85
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No0.9230.978$48.88+$2.73
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No0.8600.965$48.25+$5.25
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · No0.9100.965$48.23+$2.73
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.7400.959$47.92+$10.93
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9560.936$40.25$0.86
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · No0.8860.945$31.02+$1.92
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8530.925$27.75+$2.15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9620.903$27.11$1.75
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9840.986$19.71+$0.03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9770.981$19.61+$0.07
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.7200.954$19.08+$4.68
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.9050.931$18.62+$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 03:23Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.405$4.05
07-14 03:22France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5975$17.93
07-14 03:22Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.405$8.10
07-14 03:21France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5975$35.85
07-09 23:26Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.388$38.80
07-08 22:29Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.63$5.04
07-08 22:29France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.78$46.80
07-07 23:20Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.045$2.25
07-07 20:07Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.63$5.67
07-07 20:07France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.78$15.60
07-07 17:55Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.06$19.02
07-07 17:34Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.8199999996$260.00
07-07 17:32Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceSELL0.17$170.00
07-07 17:00Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.39$78.00
07-07 05:01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.331$66.20