brunoviedma
0xfd18038ccf4b9fa9547bfbce04197998e8700e39
- Realised P&L
- $-361.06
- Volume
- $183.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $40.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $40.10 | −$1.29 |
| Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.00 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.40 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.21at 0.123Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$137.41at 0.327Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$120.99at 0.003Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$47.49at 0.229Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?
- +$44.51at 0.357Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 10-05 13:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.5449429886 | $54.48 |
| 10-05 13:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $41.39 |
| 10-04 19:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3185395752 | $26.29 |
| 10-04 18:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3188881465 | $38.83 |
| 10-04 18:43 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0498364054 | $19.00 |
| 07-11 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $49.80 |
| 07-11 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8855595503 | $49.00 |
| 07-11 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.119999996 | $23.78 |
| 07-11 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9599999654 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 17:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1926411096 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |