0xfd15910ac2c99a00304566de62f18a7a2d6759f4
0xfd15910ac2c99a00304566de62f18a7a2d6759f4
- Realised P&L
- $81.59
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $23.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.945 | $14.52 | +$4.53 |
| CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.680 | 0.730 | $1.38 | +$0.09 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.640 | 0.645 | $1.30 | +$0.01 |
| Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.650 | 0.650 | $1.29 | +$0.00 |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02? · No | 0.660 | 0.655 | $1.28 | −$0.01 |
| CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.615 | $1.28 | −$0.01 |
| Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.680 | 0.670 | $1.27 | −$0.02 |
| Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.455 | $1.09 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.58at 0.210Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$26.72at 0.278Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$20.28at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$19.13at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$16.05at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:49 | Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6599999795 | $1.29 |
| 10-01 05:59 | CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199998654 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 11:27 | CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999367 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 07:46 | Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6499999496 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 07:25 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 06:44 | OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 05:30 | Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999367 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 05:30 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5899999131 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 04:59 | Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999749 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 03:21 | Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.609999844 | $1.29 |
| 09-30 00:35 | Rhode Island FC vs. Indy Eleven: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6699998753 | $1.29 |
| 09-29 19:27 | Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.5399999749 | $1.29 |
| 09-29 06:42 | Miami FC vs. Sporting Jax: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5899999131 | $1.29 |
| 09-29 04:55 | Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.5599998611 | $1.29 |
| 09-28 05:16 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6699998753 | $1.29 |