Ban4ik
0xfd12bfa49ce450980398812c9c689824388c53fa
- Realised P&L
- $-11.6k
- Volume
- $966.6k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.125 | $733.11 | −$79.84 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.039 | $210.75 | −$291.55 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.170 | $171.23 | +$41.11 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7AM ET
- +$460.54at 0.493Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$315.20at 0.982Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
- +$217.84at 0.250Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$128.73at 0.997Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:40 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1277892002 | $23.12 |
| 09-16 04:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $126.91 |
| 09-15 06:53 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $125.59 |
| 09-15 06:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13899998 | $69.50 |
| 09-14 11:01 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.91 |
| 09-14 11:01 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $21.60 |
| 08-28 14:44 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.36 |
| 08-28 14:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0168974995 | $33.79 |
| 08-28 14:43 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $110.21 |
| 08-28 04:11 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $18.76 |
| 08-28 04:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $27.48 |
| 08-27 17:15 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.01 |
| 08-27 16:15 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $89.66 |
| 08-27 16:11 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0990642049 | $105.86 |
| 08-27 16:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.035112242 | $15.80 |