PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BelieveInSomething

0xfd0ee585bf699259f6a1671b4b1675d07f07a9c8

Realised P&L
$6.6k
Volume
$374.2k
Markets traded
205
Open portfolio
$473.50

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded205
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? · Yes0.2900.115$230.00$350.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4600.595$178.50+$40.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2300.065$65.00$165.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$20.00
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.0460.000$0.00$38.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 18:31Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.87$956.99
07-27 18:31Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.269$107.60
07-18 21:26President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.0461070145$36.82
07-18 21:13President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.043$1.93
06-25 10:37Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?BUY0.4263675875$272.72
06-12 16:15US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1680094308$100.00
06-12 15:20Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.87$174.00
06-06 19:54Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?SELL0.0333207725$2.12
06-01 16:00Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.8238365676$786.67
06-01 12:06MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6598961449$400.00
06-01 12:05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4999457859$500.00
05-26 09:38Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.816$3.5k
05-25 20:32Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8109999998$3.5k
05-22 14:23Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3913704137$321.28
05-20 20:47Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?BUY0.9781211328$403.74