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Traders

0xfd0a48d7f4867446a5165aeab35c42f8b529dbf0

Realised P&L
$-10.67
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$20.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026? · No0.9130.741$11.20$2.60
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · No0.9300.985$2.95+$0.16
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No0.9400.977$2.93+$0.11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7800.935$2.81+$0.47
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · Yes0.0760.045$0.71$0.49
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.2300.065$0.33$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 13:07Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?SELL0.13$1.69
08-13 13:07Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?SELL0.87$11.31
07-28 13:36Will Trump resign before 2027?SELL0.038$1.48
07-27 18:53Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?SELL0.963$35.63
07-14 16:55Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?SELL0.75$15.00
07-01 13:18Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$35.15
07-01 13:18Will Trump resign before 2027?BUY0.0280000008$1.11
06-07 04:55Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?BUY0.86$11.18
06-07 04:55Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?BUY0.12$1.56
05-13 03:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.08$5.40
05-13 03:23Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?BUY0.9$54.60
05-10 11:21Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?BUY0.9133812885$13.80
05-10 11:21Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?BUY0.0765916707$1.20
05-05 10:10Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?SELL0.98$10.78
05-01 06:32FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?BUY0.4498688312$34.64
Trader 0xfd0a…dbf0 · PolyBot Pro