haub3r
0xfcfd81ba868067f588829f6ff1630068825d1c41
- Realised P&L
- $-469.97
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $162.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.547 | 0.165 | $153.38 | −$354.81 |
| Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.170 | $2.83 | −$2.17 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.185 | $2.64 | −$0.36 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.145 | $1.65 | −$3.35 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.050 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.87at 0.455US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$18.92at 0.230Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?
- +$16.01at 0.686Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
- +$13.26at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$11.67at 0.300US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 16:24 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 05:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 06:36 | Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 06:21 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 07:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $23.02 |
| 04-19 11:14 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 04-07 00:54 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.3099999526 | $3.92 |
| 04-07 00:48 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $3.91 |
| 03-23 13:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.5189722023 | $111.49 |
| 03-21 10:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $111.12 |
| 03-21 04:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.5899999763 | $22.15 |
| 03-21 04:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.589710926 | $102.00 |
| 03-20 03:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.6069410081 | $20.00 |
| 03-20 03:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.6178892617 | $112.44 |
| 03-20 02:59 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |