0xfCEbAeCfB06A433D952F87BB8843dB6428aA6334-1778690991076
0xfcebaecfb06a433d952f87bb8843db6428aa6334
- Realised P&L
- $-22.96
- Volume
- $917.32
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $50.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.812 | 0.935 | $17.28 | +$2.28 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · No | 0.993 | 0.992 | $9.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.620 | $7.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.977 | $5.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.933 | 0.972 | $4.86 | +$0.19 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.835 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.45at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$5.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$3.62at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$2.20at 0.909Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.98at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:58 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.9925186597 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 07:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6099999451 | $4.00 |
| 07-30 18:37 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9469999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 18:36 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999742 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 02:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7539997844 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 16:58 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.30 |
| 07-21 07:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9319999684 | $15.00 |
| 07-20 15:49 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9289999867 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 19:38 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 07-10 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 16:29 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.14 |
| 07-08 09:06 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 09:03 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.2699999656 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 09:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |