twok020101
0xfcdd4ceaa00ece4e90314e6fe326b06cd816a29a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.84
- Volume
- $167.20
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.92at 0.124Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$-0.97at 0.015Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 16:19 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 08-20 16:19 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.12 |
| 08-17 16:49 | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:27 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 16:26 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |