lescapa88
0xfcb9049d902c1b0934da18107a3686cfc02cebee
- Realised P&L
- $-463.70
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $49.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.81at 0.210US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$14.46at 0.550Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
- +$12.12at 0.366US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$8.89at 0.360US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$7.95at 0.386US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 15:42 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 10:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 10:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 10:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 10:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 12:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $4.64 |
| 04-27 12:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $4.70 |
| 04-27 12:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY | 0.3361144795 | $4.73 |
| 04-27 12:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $4.85 |
| 04-15 07:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $4.67 |
| 04-15 07:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $4.64 |
| 04-15 07:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.63 |
| 04-05 17:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.46 |
| 04-03 22:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $4.71 |
| 04-03 22:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $4.77 |