PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lescapa88

0xfcb9049d902c1b0934da18107a3686cfc02cebee

Realised P&L
$-463.70
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$49.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.6610.929$28.14+$8.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.969$6.29+$1.29
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2500.059$5.95$19.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6950.135$2.91$12.09
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? · Yes0.2450.028$2.28$17.72
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3600.065$1.81$8.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.095$1.58$8.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.055$0.61$4.39
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00$1.00
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 15:42Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?BUY0.29999997$5.00
05-11 10:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
05-11 10:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
05-11 10:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY0.209999974$5.00
05-11 10:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
04-27 12:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?BUY0.0899999845$4.64
04-27 12:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?BUY0.2599999646$4.70
04-27 12:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?BUY0.3361144795$4.73
04-27 12:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?BUY0.6299999811$4.85
04-15 07:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?BUY0.1699999759$4.67
04-15 07:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?BUY0.1099999815$4.64
04-15 07:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.08$4.63
04-05 17:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY0.32$9.46
04-03 22:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY0.2799999731$4.71
04-03 22:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.4299999871$4.77