0xFc67660468EB416B61Aa9958ad9eF0e3ca502A19-1763542151595
0xfc67660468eb416b61aa9958ad9ef0e3ca502a19
- Realised P&L
- $-56.64
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $3.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in October? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.081 | $3.12 | −$1.88 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in May? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.42 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $450 in May? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.54 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in September? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.92 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in September? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.47at 0.109Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
- +$28.19at 0.100Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?
- +$11.95at 0.037Will Google reach $335 in November?
- +$11.88at 0.054Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
- +$5.53at 0.186Will Google reach $375 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:30 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in October? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 04:58 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 04:56 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in September? | BUY | 0.0512601435 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 11:33 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 06-12 06:15 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.74 |
| 06-12 06:15 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.16 |
| 06-12 05:05 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.058 | $4.98 |
| 05-23 03:05 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May? | SELL | 0.062 | $1.24 |
| 05-18 12:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | SELL | 0.014 | $2.80 |
| 05-15 12:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.20 |
| 05-14 18:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 05-14 02:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 05-08 17:05 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.39 |
| 05-08 16:38 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May? | SELL | 0.69 | $10.69 |
| 05-08 16:37 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.27 |