PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfc492103a4b642b976c5bcefaa9aa8bb96c16dca

Realised P&L
$868.84
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar17.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes0.4100.670$891.17+$345.53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.8900.967$779.40+$61.69
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.0770.249$32.39+$22.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 06:16Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.89$717.71
07-15 22:04Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?BUY0.4099999996$533.21
07-15 22:03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5809999998$717.15
07-09 13:51Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$10.00
07-09 13:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1929999863$10.00
07-09 13:50Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999871$10.00
07-09 13:50Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999944$10.00
07-02 23:50Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.2099999984$100.00
07-02 01:42Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
06-30 16:44Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?BUY0.4463004793$35.95
06-30 16:36Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?BUY0.4199999818$12.43
06-30 03:49Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3099999922$16.72
06-21 06:12Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.0768783054$10.00
06-20 06:04Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.5099999951$25.98