PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

invest206

0xfc48c8f32bad4d671160d6f1b517d5940f5e05f5

Realised P&L
$-141.75
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$656.06

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3190.262$459.29$100.71
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5900.635$63.74+$4.52
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4310.365$20.64$3.73
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2840.105$18.50$31.50
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0220.025$11.18+$1.19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.075$6.43$3.57
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.3460.442$6.39+$1.39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.8801.000$5.68+$0.68
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4400.485$5.51+$0.51
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · Yes0.8860.969$5.47+$0.47
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1590.173$5.45+$0.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9401.000$5.32+$0.32
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4800.505$5.26+$0.26
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$5.26+$0.26
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.9670.981$5.07+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 11:49Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.938999953$1.00
07-31 11:49Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.9669999996$5.00
07-31 11:47Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.879999831$5.00
07-31 11:44Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.8859999933$5.00
07-31 11:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
07-31 11:19US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9669999996$5.00
07-31 11:15Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1586737449$5.00
07-31 11:15Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.345999956$5.00
07-31 11:09Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?BUY0.8399999395$5.00
07-31 11:04Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
07-31 11:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
07-24 07:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7419999757$5.00
07-24 04:53Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?SELL0.905$17.47
07-23 10:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.849999983$5.00
07-23 10:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.782999971$5.00