switcher610
0xfc45455f40605d65fb66c0e8dec622199e2ddf84
- Realised P&L
- $12.41
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $101.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.957 | 0.979 | $51.86 | +$1.14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-24 House seat? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.993 | $49.65 | +$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.31at 0.899Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$2.05at 0.933Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$0.85at 0.974Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
- +$0.82at 0.975EU dissolves before 2027?
- +$0.80at 0.984Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:28 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | SELL | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 04-08 08:47 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $19.58 |