gh0stwriter123
0xfc44c2cf31d30f822950978e88af0fb9aad31997
- Realised P&L
- $53.31
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $275.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.41at 0.177Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$30.94at 0.394England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$27.48at 0.338Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?
- +$25.71at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 5?
- +$16.16at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:14 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 22:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.13 |
| 07-19 22:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9829999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 19:40 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999798 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 21:14 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 13:04 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 13:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 12:58 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:53 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.9009900981 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:21 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 19:42 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4674999575 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 18:22 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 18:16 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4624999884 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 18:15 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 19:28 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.219999993 | $24.00 |