zerebro08
0xfc3ebaa436b1c7af9c3d84c911716b9a0efb0ac4
- Realised P&L
- $98.42
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $158.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.51at 0.062Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$244.90at 0.350Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$47.17at 0.230Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$40.50at 0.550Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
- +$39.15at 0.390US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 10:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-07 09:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.21 | $28.90 |
| 08-30 15:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.09 |
| 08-30 15:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 15:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 15:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8899998861 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999883 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 15:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $1.11 |
| 08-30 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 10:50 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.32 |