0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451
0xfc2f4f50ce2f6045d35558a5e2d8d4b2ac6610c7
- Realised P&L
- $195.4k
- Volume
- $55.26M
- Markets traded
- 864
- Open portfolio
- $18.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded864
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.3kat 0.816Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$83.3kat 0.725US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$38.2kat 0.207US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$37.2kat 0.322US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$25.6kat 0.250Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.9471318221 | $510.56 |
| 10-30 00:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.5120236911 | $137.89 |
| 10-29 23:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.739 | $2.2k |
| 10-29 23:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.1919981529 | $1.3k |
| 10-29 17:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5904353448 | $3.4k |
| 10-29 17:41 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.8625 | $2.9k |
| 10-29 17:41 | Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.856048425 | $3.4k |
| 10-28 04:47 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.0k |
| 10-24 18:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0893604429 | $1.3k |
| 10-24 16:06 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.26 | $519.74 |
| 10-24 00:35 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.0k |
| 10-24 00:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.6k |
| 10-24 00:19 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.2943324 | $883.00 |
| 10-24 00:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.6k |
| 10-24 00:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.09 | $270.00 |