0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451
0xfc2f4f50ce2f6045d35558a5e2d8d4b2ac6610c7
- Realised P&L
- $188.3k
- Volume
- $54.22M
- Markets traded
- 800
- Open portfolio
- $30.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded800
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.3kat 0.816Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$83.3kat 0.725US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$38.2kat 0.207US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$37.2kat 0.322US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$25.6kat 0.250Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 20:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4629857571 | $3.2k |
| 08-02 18:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5912251625 | $4.7k |
| 08-02 18:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.223869275 | $895.48 |
| 08-02 18:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.2971461333 | $891.44 |
| 08-02 18:26 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5367120333 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 18:26 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 08-02 13:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 13:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.969 | $746.13 |
| 08-02 03:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.8 | $105.68 |
| 08-02 03:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.89 | $774.86 |
| 08-02 02:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0584363085 | $114.49 |
| 08-02 02:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3373117132 | $524.63 |
| 08-02 02:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0214330391 | $193.54 |
| 08-02 01:23 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.76 | $58.24 |