PolyBot

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Traders

MS91

0xfc0a18473915928784716ad62f32c4fa8cd28c9a

Realised P&L
$75.08
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$84.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0450.022$19.96$20.03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5060.595$17.63+$2.63
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? · Yes0.5700.455$15.96$4.04
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0690.060$12.00$1.80
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0390.033$8.33$1.67
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2750.160$5.80$4.20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1790.075$5.05$6.95
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 07:17Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.062$28.38
07-03 07:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.155$17.77
07-03 07:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.248$19.13
07-03 07:17Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.26$58.06
06-30 19:12Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.024$40.43
06-22 08:27Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
06-22 08:27Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
06-20 15:49Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
06-20 15:47Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0719999871$5.00
06-14 04:36Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.013$9.29
06-12 07:12Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.529999965$5.00
06-11 16:09Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0439999958$10.00
06-11 16:08Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
06-10 08:52Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.529999965$5.00
06-10 08:51Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0443913502$10.00