wgva
0xfbf5e5fa3feb58130dd839b1bba215bfe3d05224
- Realised P&L
- $-17.45
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $186.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.350 | $69.98 | −$8.99 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.360 | $36.05 | +$2.35 |
| António Guterres out by December 31? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.260 | $26.13 | −$0.10 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.221 | $22.05 | −$1.35 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.021 | $21.50 | −$6.50 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.100 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.011 | $1.05 | −$1.35 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 21:45 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.028 | $28.00 |
| 08-26 21:06 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 08-26 21:05 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 21:02 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.337 | $33.70 |
| 08-26 20:55 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.234 | $23.40 |
| 08-26 20:46 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.44 | $21.97 |
| 08-26 20:44 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.38 | $57.00 |
| 08-26 20:37 | António Guterres out by December 31? | BUY | 0.2609949259 | $26.23 |