Mickud
0xfbf0935fc6f9abb8a559e877567ac086fe1b1664
- Realised P&L
- $-19.06
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $5.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.24at 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.60at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?
- +$3.60at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?
- +$3.19at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?
- +$2.78at 0.900Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:57 | Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.83 |
| 10-26 18:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.439 | $2.24 |
| 07-19 19:02 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.325 | $1.66 |
| 07-18 19:19 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.22 |
| 07-15 18:48 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.73 |
| 07-14 21:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.196 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 19:09 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.355 | $1.81 |
| 07-11 23:05 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.56 |
| 07-09 21:36 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.9725 | $5.83 |
| 07-09 20:38 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2625 | $1.39 |
| 07-09 20:32 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2525 | $1.31 |
| 07-09 19:47 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.30 |
| 07-07 16:26 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.63 |
| 07-05 22:08 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 07-05 04:54 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.38 |