PolyBot

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Traders

Mickud

0xfbf0935fc6f9abb8a559e877567ac086fe1b1664

Realised P&L
$-19.06
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$5.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government? · No0.9900.989$4.82−$0.01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8400.030$0.18−$4.86
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$0.82
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.01
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$0.97
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1960.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$0.56
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$0.41
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00−$1.23
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.33
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$0.40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9780.000$0.00−$12.32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00−$5.70
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 8? · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 18:57Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.99$4.83
10-26 18:52Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.439$2.24
07-19 19:02Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.325$1.66
07-18 19:19Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.24$1.22
07-15 18:48Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.34$1.73
07-14 21:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.196$1.00
07-14 19:09Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.355$1.81
07-11 23:05Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.3$1.56
07-09 21:36Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.9725$5.83
07-09 20:38Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2625$1.39
07-09 20:32Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?SELL0.2525$1.31
07-09 19:47Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$1.30
07-07 16:26Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?BUY0.32$1.63
07-05 22:08Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.27$1.62
07-05 04:54Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.27$1.38