0xfbdf9f72b58d5712c98b46de87a944b520693256
0xfbdf9f72b58d5712c98b46de87a944b520693256
- Realised P&L
- $393.06
- Volume
- $187.3k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.5652026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$1.9kat 0.210Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$1.2kat 0.130Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$938.24at 0.2002026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
- +$936.95at 0.2102026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 16:40 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.239 | $1.19 |
| 08-18 16:38 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.249 | $1.25 |
| 08-16 00:48 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 08-16 00:47 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.832 | $33.28 |
| 08-10 22:29 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.021 | $0.16 |
| 08-07 18:07 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.76 | $30.40 |
| 08-03 22:56 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $48.75 |
| 08-03 22:56 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.45 |
| 08-03 22:32 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.8324995791 | $49.44 |
| 07-24 09:01 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $18.40 |
| 07-12 08:54 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.26 |
| 07-12 04:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 07-12 04:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.57 |
| 07-11 22:40 | Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.8225 | $41.13 |
| 07-11 22:28 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.675 | $67.50 |