PolyBot

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Traders

mxc3ua20pkio

0xfb9caa0dba4ba6cb15a928e37e6bc56d19e7383e

Realised P&L
$71.76
Volume
$53.3k
Markets traded
930
Open portfolio
$439.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded930
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9280.968$250.17+$10.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.956$92.52+$2.52
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.964$62.23+$2.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.967$20.14+$0.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.974$10.14+$0.14
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3480.935$2.50+$1.57
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23? · Yes0.1430.200$1.53+$0.43
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.032$0.49$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:36Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 23?BUY0.1434782546$1.10
09-09 17:50Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 10?BUY0.28$3.29
09-06 22:08Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?BUY0.16$1.19
09-06 07:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 7?BUY0.21$1.26
09-05 20:04Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 5?SELL0.22$0.26
09-05 19:18Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 5?SELL0.48$0.12
09-05 19:18Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 5?SELL0.48$0.08
09-05 19:17Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 5?SELL0.47$0.24
09-05 18:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 5?BUY0.4899999433$1.21
09-05 10:35Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 5?BUY0.08$1.21
09-05 08:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 5?BUY0.1$1.08
09-01 14:23Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$10.00
09-01 12:20Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
09-01 11:46Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
09-01 11:45Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999953$10.00