GuavaGuy
0xfb6f96053a6803a5f9565e12c0f3f6110d5a66dc
- Realised P&L
- $-14.0k
- Volume
- $90.0k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.040 | $1.6k | −$7.8k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.042 | $1.2k | −$2.7k |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.6k |