PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lumberjack

0xfb5dbc0a758b276e1cc300dcb26dca35dbb3be63

Realised P&L
$265.68
Volume
$68.4k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$205.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.095$51.11$28.39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1050.029$32.64$87.36
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.036$32.16$81.16
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1790.105$22.92$16.18
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3340.145$18.06$23.56
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.035$16.29$62.67
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.015$15.44$93.23
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.011$8.12$41.88
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1220.015$4.53$33.45
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3900.095$2.44$7.56
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.052$1.93$5.07
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Solana dip to $110 in November? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$45.00
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$30.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? · No0.0200.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-19 09:33OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL0.27$11.25
02-27 08:34Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
02-27 08:33Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
02-27 08:23Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
02-27 08:23Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
02-27 08:22Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
02-25 23:20Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
02-17 17:08Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$11.62
02-14 15:18Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999951$22.26
02-14 15:17Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
02-14 15:16Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
02-14 15:16Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
02-14 14:39Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$25.00
02-14 14:32Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$25.00
02-14 14:31Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999794$7.00