PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Lumberjack

0xfb5dbc0a758b276e1cc300dcb26dca35dbb3be63

Realised P&L
$627.35
Volume
$71.5k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$24.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.011$12.24−$96.42
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.007$5.54−$44.46
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1220.013$4.22−$33.76
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.042$1.55−$5.45
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3900.055$1.41−$8.59
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Solana dip to $110 in November? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$45.00
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$30.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$129.97
Clippers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.4300.000$0.00−$9.89
MetaMask airdrop by June 30? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Solana dip to $100 in November? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$10.00
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 12:21Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$16.19
10-19 22:32Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0286718522$13.34
10-19 20:29Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0201947911$18.04
10-12 19:47Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.027$30.92
10-08 09:51Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3625034385$195.03
10-08 09:14Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4482470448$97.83
04-19 09:33OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL0.27$11.25
02-27 08:34Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
02-27 08:33Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
02-27 08:23Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
02-27 08:23Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
02-27 08:22Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
02-25 23:20Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
02-17 17:08Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$11.62
02-14 15:18Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999951$22.26