PolyBot

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Traders

ppxtu

0xfb57f8670d2f51a76b0ce40c533ed7d7328c0a46

Realised P&L
$44.9k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$48.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7840.715$23.8k−$2.3k
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8540.855$16.9k+$25.45
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes0.5230.415$3.1k−$823.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · No0.6200.976$1.7k+$605.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2000.245$1.5k+$270.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.1400.155$1.0k+$100.50
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · Yes0.2540.175$739.77−$334.12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0900.070$168.00−$48.00
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:08NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.83$2.7k
09-18 22:24NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$114.83
09-18 03:40NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$803.94
09-08 12:49Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?SELL0.9$609.08
09-07 20:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?BUY0.88$532.09
09-04 23:34Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.75$507.57
09-04 23:02Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.62$657.16
09-04 22:41US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.2887808457$385.72
09-04 09:02US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?BUY0.5315622624$3.2k
09-03 11:56US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?BUY0.492266766$760.08
09-03 11:56US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.23799262$688.17
07-30 09:12NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8480461538$275.61
07-30 09:09NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7401005639$3.1k
07-30 09:08NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86941108$8.7k
07-30 09:08NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8712002462$495.41