ppxtu
0xfb57f8670d2f51a76b0ce40c533ed7d7328c0a46
- Realised P&L
- $44.9k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $48.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.784 | 0.715 | $23.8k | −$2.3k |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.854 | 0.855 | $16.9k | +$25.45 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.415 | $3.1k | −$823.14 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · No | 0.620 | 0.976 | $1.7k | +$605.20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.245 | $1.5k | +$270.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.155 | $1.0k | +$100.50 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.175 | $739.77 | −$334.12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.070 | $168.00 | −$48.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.853Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.0kat 0.850Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.888NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.551Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.641Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.7k |
| 09-18 22:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $114.83 |
| 09-18 03:40 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $803.94 |
| 09-08 12:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $609.08 |
| 09-07 20:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $532.09 |
| 09-04 23:34 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $507.57 |
| 09-04 23:02 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $657.16 |
| 09-04 22:41 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.2887808457 | $385.72 |
| 09-04 09:02 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | BUY | 0.5315622624 | $3.2k |
| 09-03 11:56 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | BUY | 0.492266766 | $760.08 |
| 09-03 11:56 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.23799262 | $688.17 |
| 07-30 09:12 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8480461538 | $275.61 |
| 07-30 09:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7401005639 | $3.1k |
| 07-30 09:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86941108 | $8.7k |
| 07-30 09:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8712002462 | $495.41 |