PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bavar

0xfb43ea6fbce428b037bb9ccc1f2886ef6e7461bd

Realised P&L
$-1.31
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$0.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0100.007$0.70$0.30
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin above 73,800 on September 16, 2PM ET? · No0.0140.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? · No0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 2? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 2? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 18? · No0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4? · No0.0350.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 8? · No0.0260.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum above 2,340 on August 20, 9AM ET? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-16 17:50Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 18?BUY0.090163927$1.00
09-16 17:42Bitcoin above 73,800 on September 16, 2PM ET?BUY0.0139999999$1.00
09-16 17:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.0229999999$1.00
09-16 17:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?BUY0.004$1.00
09-13 17:26Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
09-13 17:24Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
09-13 17:20Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
09-13 15:06Will Liverpool LFC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.001$1.00
09-11 13:57Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 11?SELL0.49$11.26
09-11 12:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 11?BUY0.013$1.00
09-11 12:00Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 11?BUY0.1479999991$5.00
09-11 11:55Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 11?BUY0.086999999$2.00
09-11 11:52Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 11?BUY0.0125346217$1.00
09-11 11:48Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 11?BUY0.007$1.00