cookie96
0xfb416335dbe6d84eb0cab94d7042ad20b5ad1fff
- Realised P&L
- $-15.9k
- Volume
- $3.14M
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.015Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.9kat 0.090Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.8kat 0.620Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.012Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.520FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 21:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.2351592897 | $8.0k |
| 09-06 16:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $650.00 |
| 09-06 10:48 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 09-06 10:47 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.11 | $138.32 |
| 08-28 09:07 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.52 | $260.00 |
| 08-28 09:06 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.42 | $210.00 |
| 08-23 14:19 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 08-22 14:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $600.00 |
| 08-12 14:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |
| 08-06 16:47 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 08-05 16:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 08-05 16:13 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $147.63 |
| 08-05 15:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $620.00 |
| 08-05 15:39 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |
| 07-28 15:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.7k |