PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cookie96

0xfb416335dbe6d84eb0cab94d7042ad20b5ad1fff

Realised P&L
$-15.9k
Volume
$3.14M
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.145$725.00+$75.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1020.065$691.21$391.20
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0410.212$98.27+$79.42
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes0.2600.650$96.20+$57.72
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31? · Yes0.5800.690$69.00+$11.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · No0.1500.026$61.70$293.81
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1100.045$56.59$81.73
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0240.005$16.95$56.99
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.2100.042$3.56$14.24
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$160.66
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00$450.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$104.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$102.00
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$28.00
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00$877.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 21:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.2351592897$8.0k
09-06 16:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$650.00
09-06 10:48Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.19$19.00
09-06 10:47Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.11$138.32
08-28 09:07Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.52$260.00
08-28 09:06Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.42$210.00
08-23 14:19Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.51$102.00
08-22 14:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.3$600.00
08-12 14:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.47$470.00
08-06 16:47Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31?BUY0.58$58.00
08-05 16:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.53$1.1k
08-05 16:13Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.37$147.63
08-05 15:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.62$620.00
08-05 15:39US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.1$1.0k
07-28 15:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.56$16.7k