naka3
0xfb0aff14ddca4f5b30eb6f3bbec23728edf7af50
- Realised P&L
- $-25.98
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.385 | $1.2k | +$102.20 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.285 | $1.0k | +$17.86 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.036 | $251.34 | +$1.34 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.630 | 0.625 | $248.02 | −$1.98 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No | 0.500 | 0.545 | $218.00 | +$18.00 |
| Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.949 | $99.84 | −$0.16 |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $86.67 | −$113.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 21:38 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 19:39 | Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-19 19:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $250.00 |
| 10-19 19:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $25.00 |
| 10-19 19:30 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 19:28 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3558611729 | $1000.00 |
| 10-19 19:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 19:15 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0363057866 | $250.00 |
| 10-19 19:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.0k |