PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

coolcools

0xfb08c6d4e676cf9542831890824c154fbab5ee59

Realised P&L
$-505.36
Volume
$163.8k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9920.996$995.50+$3.50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.972$527.99+$27.99
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.0780.078$495.20−$0.83
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6910.905$381.91+$90.17
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.0790.077$288.84−$5.94
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.970$13.11+$0.54
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$16.32
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.5750.000$0.00−$126.71
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$24.99
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00−$45.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:11Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.0740189014$156.64
10-15 02:10Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.077$95.66
10-14 16:14Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.08$49.16
10-14 14:19Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?SELL0.08$19.74
10-14 14:19Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?SELL0.0901552765$14.93
10-14 06:20Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.295$118.00
10-14 06:20Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.295$29.50
10-14 06:19Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?SELL0.1124991667$13.50
10-14 00:50Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?BUY0.1055494505$9.60
10-14 00:50Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$19.74
10-14 00:46Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.082$229.60
10-14 00:46Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.08$181.54
09-05 04:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.14$84.00
08-20 16:38Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2288149447$190.59
08-20 13:24Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2321398557$193.36