coolcools
0xfb08c6d4e676cf9542831890824c154fbab5ee59
- Realised P&L
- $-505.36
- Volume
- $163.8k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.992 | 0.996 | $995.50 | +$3.50 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.972 | $527.99 | +$27.99 |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.078 | $495.20 | −$0.83 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.691 | 0.905 | $381.91 | +$90.17 |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.077 | $288.84 | −$5.94 |
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.970 | $13.11 | +$0.54 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.32 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.71 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.99 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.00at 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$230.00at 0.540Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$69.66at 0.894MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$43.40at 0.860Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?
- +$19.50at 0.370Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:11 | Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.0740189014 | $156.64 |
| 10-15 02:10 | Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.077 | $95.66 |
| 10-14 16:14 | Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.08 | $49.16 |
| 10-14 14:19 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $19.74 |
| 10-14 14:19 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.0901552765 | $14.93 |
| 10-14 06:20 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.295 | $118.00 |
| 10-14 06:20 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.295 | $29.50 |
| 10-14 06:19 | Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.1124991667 | $13.50 |
| 10-14 00:50 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1055494505 | $9.60 |
| 10-14 00:50 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $19.74 |
| 10-14 00:46 | Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.082 | $229.60 |
| 10-14 00:46 | Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.08 | $181.54 |
| 09-05 04:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $84.00 |
| 08-20 16:38 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2288149447 | $190.59 |
| 08-20 13:24 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2321398557 | $193.36 |