0x9099
0xfafc39e16a68d1059bf34501f4864cd0788e8a4e
- Realised P&L
- $-8.92
- Volume
- $261.31
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $49.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? · No | 0.469 | 0.591 | $11.81 | +$2.43 |
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.550 | $11.00 | +$2.80 |
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.450 | $9.00 | −$0.80 |
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.409 | $8.19 | −$1.61 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.265 | $5.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.135 | $2.70 | −$1.70 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.044 | $0.89 | +$0.39 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.015 | $0.29 | −$0.13 |
| Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
| Brisbane Bullets vs. Tasmania JackJumpers · Brisbane Bullets | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.43at 0.866Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner
- +$2.73at 0.734Solana Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET
- +$-0.12at 0.170Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 02:51 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.42 |
| 10-07 02:51 | Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-07 02:51 | Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-07 02:51 | Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.409 | $2.13 |
| 10-07 02:51 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.50 |
| 10-07 02:51 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 14:46 | Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8599999953 | $22.00 |
| 10-03 14:40 | Finland vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.464 | $6.96 |
| 10-03 10:37 | Solana Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999844 | $7.40 |
| 10-03 09:32 | Brisbane Bullets vs. Tasmania JackJumpers | BUY | 0.2799999941 | $7.54 |
| 10-03 06:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.88 |
| 10-03 06:28 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |