PolyBot

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Traders

0xfAe64c40781D52664265C24a0Ea6262c35434F84-1761237990786

0xfae64c40781d52664265c24a0ea6262c35434f84

Realised P&L
$-50.55
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$233.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:36Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.11$1.65
08-02 01:12China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.921$27.63
07-31 03:39San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresSELL0.89$58.04
07-30 06:12San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.4599999939$30.00
07-29 18:52Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.5099999986$50.00
07-23 18:55China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.932$93.20
07-23 18:54Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 24?BUY0.019$0.81
07-23 18:52Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?BUY0.1374866667$4.12
07-23 13:49Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.001$0.05
07-23 13:41Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.001$0.03
07-22 11:39Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.06
07-22 11:31China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.932$37.28
07-22 11:27Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.042$0.84
07-22 11:27Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.049$2.45
07-21 12:48Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22?BUY0.38$1.90