PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfae64c40781d52664265c24a0ea6262c35434f84

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$220.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9300.950$161.50+$3.39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6850.597$44.74−$6.64
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.7500.977$12.21+$2.84
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.1500.191$2.39+$0.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$3.80
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00−$3.13
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 24? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.14
Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 21? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$28.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$65.99
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 21? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$21.00
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals · San Francisco Giants0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$7.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:36Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.11$1.65
08-02 01:12China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.921$27.63
07-31 03:39San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresSELL0.89$58.04
07-30 06:12San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.4599999939$30.00
07-29 18:52Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.5099999986$50.00
07-23 18:55China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.932$93.20
07-23 18:54Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 24?BUY0.019$0.81
07-23 18:52Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?BUY0.1374866667$4.12
07-23 13:49Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.001$0.05
07-23 13:41Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.001$0.03
07-22 11:39Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.06
07-22 11:31China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.932$37.28
07-22 11:27Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.042$0.84
07-22 11:27Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.049$2.45
07-21 12:48Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22?BUY0.38$1.90