0xfAe64c40781D52664265C24a0Ea6262c35434F84-1761237990786
0xfae64c40781d52664265c24a0ea6262c35434f84
- Realised P&L
- $-50.55
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $233.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.81at 0.522Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$26.92at 0.472San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
- +$6.05at 0.008Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.00at 0.320US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$4.37at 0.043Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:36 | Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 08-02 01:12 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.921 | $27.63 |
| 07-31 03:39 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.89 | $58.04 |
| 07-30 06:12 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 18:52 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 18:55 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.932 | $93.20 |
| 07-23 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.81 |
| 07-23 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.1374866667 | $4.12 |
| 07-23 13:49 | Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-23 13:41 | Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-22 11:39 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 07-22 11:31 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.932 | $37.28 |
| 07-22 11:27 | Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.042 | $0.84 |
| 07-22 11:27 | Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.049 | $2.45 |
| 07-21 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |