0xfacba2b4fba285b5e3d74c47ba734eb6a102cc4a
0xfacba2b4fba285b5e3d74c47ba734eb6a102cc4a
- Realised P&L
- $3.79
- Volume
- $55.96
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $5.27
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.610 | 1.000 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.972 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.735 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.625 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$1.68at 0.379WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.08at 0.480US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.82at 0.550US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$0.77at 0.570Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:17 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:12 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:06 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:22 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:21 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:20 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:16 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:15 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 12:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 07:08 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 15:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |