serrinchive
0xfac51af7f390b88de5f6bbeda56bf2c17545df2f
- Realised P&L
- $-98.82
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $97.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.026 | $66.25 | −$133.75 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.155 | $30.92 | −$66.84 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.55 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999977 | $97.76 |
| 09-15 16:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $66.55 |
| 09-14 14:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.16 | $72.30 |
| 09-13 15:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $94.90 |