PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfa8f40a9aEF478c0430Dfa8D9f9d1bc78e1b0C92-1777332568310

0xfa8f40a9aef478c0430dfa8d9f9d1bc78e1b0c92

Realised P&L
$119.14
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
306
Open portfolio
$4.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded306
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.6861.000$2.92+$0.92
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3300.305$0.92$0.08
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3600.045$0.12$0.88
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0800.004$0.05$0.95
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0800.002$0.02$0.98
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 20:37Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699994984$1.00
07-11 20:37Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2174998369$1.00
06-30 01:50Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.25$1.00
06-28 01:43Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-28 01:42Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.4599997608$1.00
06-28 01:41Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5BUY0.55$1.00
06-28 01:41Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.65$1.00
06-27 17:38Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.8699999913$1.00
06-27 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.84$1.00
06-27 16:45Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.719999856$1.00
06-27 16:44Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-27 16:44Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.25$1.00
06-27 16:44Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1$1.00
06-26 21:13Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.64$1.00
06-26 21:13Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.84$1.00