0xfa8f40a9aEF478c0430Dfa8D9f9d1bc78e1b0C92-1777332568310
0xfa8f40a9aef478c0430dfa8d9f9d1bc78e1b0c92
- Realised P&L
- $119.14
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $4.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.86at 0.011Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$54.11at 0.018Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$13.43at 0.350Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$9.38at 0.179Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.66at 0.133Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 20:37 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 20:37 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2174998369 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 01:50 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 01:43 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 01:42 | Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 01:41 | Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 01:41 | Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 16:45 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 16:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 16:44 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 16:44 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 21:13 | Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 21:13 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |