0xe8029c8B0c7879F40ee4057D5069B0ff5c5f0ec4-1767050673855
0xfa8903fdda2fb0a2ca019f4e95c9c618b4392bad
- Realised P&L
- $-62.84
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 462
- Open portfolio
- $16.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded462
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.79at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
- +$3.34at 0.383Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$3.09at 0.582Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$1.74at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$1.53at 0.402Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 11:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.37 |
| 10-13 19:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 13:39 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998735 | $1.55 |
| 10-03 13:39 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.73 |
| 10-03 13:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.78 |
| 09-24 23:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 23:02 | Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $1.15 |
| 09-23 20:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6599999095 | $1.75 |
| 09-22 22:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.08 |
| 09-22 20:48 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:48 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 20:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.35 |
| 09-21 19:51 | Genoa 2: Juan Martin vs Samuele Pieri | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:38 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8069999314 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:54 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7909999842 | $1.00 |