PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

signnone

0xfa85ba603fb303bedd21a98a8dea8b1ba5a79a53

Realised P&L
$-14.92
Volume
$89.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$148.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$77.95+$27.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? · No0.9991.000$31.00+$0.03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$22.05$27.95
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0090.004$17.37$27.29
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 09:52Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$44.66
06-25 09:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?BUY0.999$30.97
04-03 14:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.983$86.50
04-03 14:41Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$79.51
01-31 10:33Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.007$61.84
10-26 15:40Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.967$27.51
10-26 15:39Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?SELL0.003$20.04
09-18 07:56Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.993$109.23
09-18 07:54Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.003$20.04
09-18 07:54Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?SELL0.002$7.20
08-31 02:32Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.91$12.74
08-31 02:31Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.858999999$15.00
08-31 02:30Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.004$16.48
08-31 02:29Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0052333177$40.11
08-21 09:14Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.005$38.33