signnone
0xfa85ba603fb303bedd21a98a8dea8b1ba5a79a53
- Realised P&L
- $-14.92
- Volume
- $89.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $148.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.779 | $77.95 | +$27.95 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $31.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.221 | $22.05 | −$27.95 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $17.37 | −$27.29 |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.67at 0.007Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.94at 0.888Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
- +$6.82at 0.690No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
- +$2.46at 0.859Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.79at 0.005Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 09:52 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $44.66 |
| 06-25 09:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 04-03 14:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.983 | $86.50 |
| 04-03 14:41 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $79.51 |
| 01-31 10:33 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $61.84 |
| 10-26 15:40 | Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.967 | $27.51 |
| 10-26 15:39 | Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.003 | $20.04 |
| 09-18 07:56 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $109.23 |
| 09-18 07:54 | Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.003 | $20.04 |
| 09-18 07:54 | Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $7.20 |
| 08-31 02:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $12.74 |
| 08-31 02:31 | Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.858999999 | $15.00 |
| 08-31 02:30 | Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.004 | $16.48 |
| 08-31 02:29 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0052333177 | $40.11 |
| 08-21 09:14 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $38.33 |