PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xfA841BBc109Bd685523d186D725d8fE4387b46E8-1778569766174

0xfa841bbc109bd685523d186d725d8fe4387b46e8

Realised P&L
$93.37
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$44.62

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.7810.790$15.16+$0.16
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5670.405$10.71$4.29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6700.695$10.37+$0.37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5900.435$7.37$2.63
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0440.011$1.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.5270.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.8000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$10.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1? · Up0.6100.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down0.5900.000$0.00$3.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$10.00
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.4890.000$0.00$5.00
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.6799999989$25.00
08-11 11:52Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?BUY0.43$14.62
08-03 09:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7899999986$62.00
08-03 09:34Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.5672017888$15.00
07-31 08:41Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
07-31 08:39Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0439999899$4.00
07-31 08:36UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.7399999941$25.00
07-24 10:32UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.8099999854$10.00
07-19 19:45Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.038$0.86
07-17 13:16Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5859999907$19.00
07-17 13:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSELL0.28$2.86
07-17 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.4899999804$5.00
07-17 13:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.4899999804$5.00
07-17 13:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSELL0.89$10.16
07-17 13:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00