Leohoeller
0xfa650810183c7acbb81f89b29919762d21a464ea
- Realised P&L
- $-154.60
- Volume
- $34.0k
- Markets traded
- 360
- Open portfolio
- $17.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded360
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.60at 0.545US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$17.92at 0.539Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
- +$15.67at 0.060Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$15.08at 0.393Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
- +$13.93at 0.067Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 09:53 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 11:46 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 10:03 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-19 18:39 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 17:10 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 11:49 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 15:22 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 09:16 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 13:06 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 11:14 | Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 11:14 | Will Trump say "Truth Social" in March? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 11:11 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 06:36 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 06:34 | Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22) | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 06:34 | Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22) | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |