PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Leohoeller

0xfa650810183c7acbb81f89b29919762d21a464ea

Realised P&L
$-154.60
Volume
$34.0k
Markets traded
360
Open portfolio
$17.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded360
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4680.695$4.45+$1.45
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes0.5301.000$1.89+$0.89
Epstein client list released by June 30? · No0.8001.000$1.25+$0.25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.8101.000$1.23+$0.23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8100.961$1.19+$0.19
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.885$1.15+$0.15
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · No0.7700.865$1.12+$0.12
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? · No0.9331.000$1.07+$0.07
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9240.986$1.07+$0.07
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No0.9100.942$1.03+$0.03
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? · No0.9721.000$1.03+$0.03
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes0.1970.105$0.54$0.46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0480.019$0.41$0.59
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$0.34$0.66
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.011$0.06$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-21 09:53Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
03-20 11:46Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0170000001$1.00
03-20 10:03Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0170000001$1.00
03-19 18:39Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.025999975$1.00
03-18 17:10Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
03-18 11:49Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.025999975$1.00
03-17 15:22Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
03-17 09:16Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
03-16 13:06Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.027$1.00
03-16 11:14Will Trump say "Third term" in March?BUY0.239999856$1.00
03-16 11:14Will Trump say "Truth Social" in March?BUY0.63$1.00
03-16 11:11Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
03-16 06:36Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
03-16 06:34Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)BUY0.4099998237$1.00
03-16 06:34Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)BUY0.4099998237$1.00